Systems modelling and simulation

Archive

Every work in this strand, newest first.

• The health and economic benefits of youth mental health system reform: exploring the optimal mix of interventions and service capacity through simulation modelling

  Paul Crosland, Seyed H. Hosseini, Nicholas Ho, Adam Skinner, Kim-Huong Nguyen, Sebastian Rosenberg, Yun J.C. Song, Deborah A. Marshall, Ian B. Hickie,* Jo-An Occhipinti* (joint senior authors)

  Value In Health, 2026

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Participatory Systems Modelling to improve mental health systems in Bogota, Colombia: stakeholders' perspectives, experiences and networks

  Adriane Martin-Hilber, Salvador Camacho, Monica Sanchez, Deborah Shambo, Grace Yeeun Lee, Laura Ospina-Pinillos*, Jo-An Occhipinti* (joint senior authors)

  International Journal of Mental Health Systems, 2026

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Insights from a codesigned dynamic modelling study of child and adolescent obesity in Australia

  Simon K Chiu, Louise A Baur, Jo-An Occhipinti, Joseph Carrello, Rebecca K Golley, Alison Hayes, Kylie E Hunter, L Kurt Kreuger, Kenny Lawson, Anthony Okely, Anna Lene Seidler, Rebecca Wyse, Louise Freebairn

  BMJ Public Health, 2025

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Examining the Impact of Youth Mental Health Services Capacity Growth Trajectories and Digital Interventions on Youth Mental Health Outcomes: System Dynamics Modeling Analysis

  Hossein Hosseini, Nicholas Ho, Sarah Piper, Sam Huntly, Paul Crosland, Catherine Vacher, Adam Skinner, Kristen Tran, Kim-Huong Nguyen, Yun Ju C Song, Shahana Ferdousi, Sithum Munasinghe, Sujata Rao, Devin Lam, Zoe Waterhouse-Bushnell, Ian B. Hickie, Jo-An Occhipinti

  Journal of Internet Medical Research, 2025

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• An evaluation of the feasibility, value and impact of using participatory modelling to inform the development of a regional system dynamics model for youth suicide prevention

  Maria Michail, Justin Waring, Jo-An Occhipinti, Katrina Witt, Adam Skinner, Michelle Lamblin, Maria Veresova, Dzenana Kartal, Jo Robinson

  BMC Health Research Policy and Systems, 2025

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Economic Evaluation of 9 Intersectoral Strategies to Improve Youth Mental Health and Alleviate Financial Burden in Colombia Using System Dynamics Modeling

  Andrea N. Natsky, Laura Ospina Pinillos, Esperanza Pena Torres, Monica Natali Sanchez Nitola, Débora Lucía Shambo Rodríguez, Salvador Camacho, Adriane Martin-Hilber, Paul Crosland, Adam Skinner, Ian B. Hickie, Jo-An Occhipinti

  Value in Health, 2025

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Navigating a complex world: Reflections on the past and future of systems modelling in Australian health and social policy

  Jo-An Occhipinti

  The Policymaker, 2025

  Opinion or commentary Systems modelling

• Beyond capacity limits: Can social cohesion offset the impact of service constraints on youth mental health?

  Jo-An Occhipinti,§ Nicholas Ho,§ Paul Crosland, Sam Huntley, Wendy Hawkins, Adam Connell, Judith Piccone, Sarah Piper, Hossein Hosseini, Catherine Vacher, Jordan van Rosmalen, Sophie Morson, Courtney Milham, Wendy Burton, Kayla Andrade, Chloe Gosling, Kristen Tran, Christine Song, Victoria Loblay, Jo Robinson, Adam Skinner*, Ian B. Hickie* (joint senior authors)

  European Psychiatry, 2025

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Participatory Systems Modelling for Youth Mental Health: Agility and Adaptiveness to Enhance Stakeholder Engagement and Knowledge Sharing

  Sarah Piper, Victoria Loblay, Yun Ju Christine Song, Grace Yeeun Lee, Samantha Huntley, Olivia Iannelli, Nicholas Ho, Seyed Hossein Hosseini, Catherine Vacher, Alexis Hutcheon, Paul Crosland, Kristen Tran, Kim-Huong Nguyen, Chloe Gosling, Jordan van Rosmalen, Kayla Andrade, Ian B. Hickie & Jo-An Occhipinti

  Int J Ment Health Syst, 2025

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Dynamic Bayesian network analysis of the social determinants of mental health

  Adam Skinner, Isabel Li, Mathew Varidel, Frank Iorfino, Jo-An Occhipinti, Christine Song, Min K. Chong, Ian Hickie

  PNAS Nexus, 2025

  Journal article Systems modelling Social production Youth mental health

• Reshaping youth mental health care for optimal system-level outcomes: a dynamic modelling analysis

  Adam Skinner, Eloisa Perez-Bennetts, Frank Iorfino, Mathew Varidel, Matthew Richards, Jo-An Occhipinti, Yun Ju Christine Song, Sebastian Rosenberg, Elizabeth M. Scott, Ian B. Hickie

  PLOS Mental Health, 2025

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Incorporating Complexity and System Dynamics Into Economic Modelling for Mental Health Policy and Planning

  Paul Crosland, Deborah Marchall, Hossein Hosseini, Nicholas Ho, Catherina Vacher, Adam Skinner, Kim-Huong Nguyen, Frank Iorfino, Sebastian Rosenberg, Yun Ju Christine Song, Apostolos Tsiachristas, Kristen Tran, Jo-An Occhipinti,* Ian B. Hickie* (joint senior authors)

  Pharmacoeconomics, 2024

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Cost-effectiveness of system-level mental health strategies for young people in the Australian Capital Territory: a dynamic simulation modelling study

  Paul Crosland, Nicholas Ho, Syed Hossein Hosseini, Catherine Vacher, Adam Skinner, Andrea N. Natsky, Sebastian Rosenberg, Raphael Hasudungan, Sam Huntley, Yun Ju Christine Song, Grace Yeeun Lee, Deborah A. Marshall, Jo-An Occhipinti,* Ian B. Hickie.* (*joint senior authors)

  Lancet Psychiatry, 2024

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Participatory systems modelling to inform improvements in the social and emotional wellbeing of young Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people in Australia

  Olivia Iannelli*, Tanja Hirvonen* Julie Robotham, Yun Ju Christine Song, Jo-An Occhipinti, Grace Yeeun Lee, Jakelin Fleur Troy, Dakota Feirer, Catherine Vacher, Abigail Bray, Ee Pin Chang, Pat Dudgeon^, and Ian Bernard Hickie^

  Lancet Regional Health – Western Pacific, 2024

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Expanding access to fracture liaison services in Australia for people with minimal trauma fractures: a system dynamics modelling study

  Jones A, Curry D, Peng C, Ebeling PR, Center JR, Duque G, Lybrand S, Lyubomirsky G, Mitchell RJ, Pearson S, Seibel MJ, Occhipinti, J

  Medical Journal of Australia, 2024

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Systems modelling and simulation to guide targeted investments to reduce youth suicide and mental health problems in a low-to-middle-income country

  Laura Ospina-Pinillos, Monica Natali Sanches Nitola, Debora Shambo, Adam Skinner, Alvaro Navarro, Salvador Camacho Adriane Martin-Hilber, Ian Hickie, Jo-An Occhipinti

  BMC Global and Public Health, 2024

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Mental health impacts of COVID-19: a retrospective analysis of dynamic modelling projections for Australia

  Adam Skinner, Jo-An Occhipinti, Yun Ju Christine Song, Ian B. Hickie

  Heliyon, 2024

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Reducing mental health emergency visits: population-level strategies from participatory modelling

  Catherine Vacher, Nicholas Ho, Adam Skinner, Paul Crosland, Seyed-Hossein Hosseini, Sam Huntley, Yun Ju Christine Song, Grace Yeeun Lee, Andrea Natsky, Raphael Hasudungan, Sebastian Rosenberg, Jo-An Occhipinti* and Ian B. Hickie*

  BMC Psychiatry, 2024

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Guidance on the use of complex systems models for economic evaluations of public health interventions

  Penny R. Breeze, Hazel Squires, Kate Ennis, Petra Meier, Kate Hayes, Nik Lomax, Alan Shiell, Frank Kee, Frank de Vocht, Martin O’Flaherty, Nigel Gilbert, Robin Purshouse, Stewart Robinson, Peter J Dodd, Mark Strong, Suzy Paisley, Richard Smith, Andrew Briggs, Lion Shahab, Jo-An Occhipinti, Kenny Lawson, Thomas Bayley, Robert Smith, Jennifer Boyd, Visakan Kadirkamanathan, Richard Cookson, Monica Hernandez-Alava, Christopher H. Jackson, Amanda Karapici, Franco Sassi, Peter Scarborough, Uwe Siebert, Eric Silverman, Luke Vale, Cathal Walsh, Alan Brennan

  Health Economics, 2023

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Can participatory processes lead to changes in the configuration of local mental health networks? A social network analysis

  Salvador Camacho, Laura Ospina-Pinillos, Mónica Sánchez-Nítola, Débora L. Shambo-Rodríguez, Grace Yeeun Lee, Adriane Martin Hilber, Jo-An Occhipinti

  Frontiers in Public Health, 2023

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Modeling distribution parameters in system dynamics: An application in childhood obesity

  Simon Chiu, Louise Freebairn, Jo-An Occhipinti, Adam Skinner, Kurt Kreuger, Louise Baur

  System Dynamics Review, 2023

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Towards youth mental health system reform: An evaluation of participatory systems modelling in the Australian Capital Territory

  Grace Yeeun Lee, Ian Bernard Hickie, Yun Ju C Song, Sam Huntley, Nicholas Ho, Victoria Loblay, Louise Freebairn, Adam Skinner, Paul Crosland, Elizabeth Moore, Natalie Johnson, Stephanie Lentern, Josephine Brogden, Erin Barry, Catherine Vacher, Sebastian Rosenberg, Paul Mayers, Olivia Iannelli, Shin Ho Park, Jo-An Occhipinti

  Systems, 2023

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Partnering with Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples: Strengthening a comprehensive multi-scale evaluation framework for participatory systems modelling through Indigenous paradigms and methodologies

  Grace Yeeun Lee, Julie Robotham, Yun Ju C Song, Jo-An Occhipinti, Jakelin Troy, Tanja Hirvonen, Dakota Feirer, Olivia Iannelli, Victoria Loblay, Louise Freebairn, Rama Agung-Igusti, Ee Pin Chang, Pat Dudgeon, Ian Bernard Hickie

  Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health, 2023

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Conceptualising the value of simulation modelling for public engagement with policy: A critical literature review

  Victoria Loblay, Louise Freebairn, Jo-An Occhipinti

  Health Res Policy Sys, 2023

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Bi-stability and critical transitions in mental health care systems: a model-based analysis

  Adam Skinner, Jo-An Occhipinti, Ante Prodan, Yun Ju Christine Song, Ian B. Hickie

  International Journal of Mental Health Systems, 2023

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Dynamic modelling of the impact of community-based acute mental health services for children and adolescents

  Adam Skinner, Jo-An Occhipinti, Yun Ju Christine Song, Elizabeth Scott, Ian Hickie

  ANZJP, 2023

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Population-level effectiveness of alternative approaches to preventing mental disorders in adolescents and young adults

  Adam Skinner, Jo-An Occhipinti, Yun Ju Christine Song & Ian B. Hickie

  Scientific Reports, 2023

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Improving access to mental health care: a system dynamics model of direct access to specialist care and accelerated specialist service capacity growth

  Catherine Vacher, Adam Skinner, Jo-An Occhipinti, Sebastian Rosenberg, Nicholas Ho, Christine Song, Ian Hickie

  Medical Journal of Australia, 2023

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Mental health systems modelling for evidence-informed service reform in Australia

  Whiteford, Harvey; Bagheri, Nasser; Diminic, Sandra; Enticott, Joanne; Gao, Caroline; Hamilton, Matthew; Hickie, Ian; Le, Long; Lee, Yong Yi; Long, Katrina; McGorry, Patrick; Meadows, Graham; Mihalopoulos, Cathy; Occhipinti, Jo-An; Rock, Daniel; Rosenberg, Sebastian; Salvador-Carulla, Luis; Skinner, Adam

  ANZJP, 2023

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Participatory methods for systems modelling of youth mental health: An implementation protocol

  Louise Freebairn, Jo-An Occhipinti, Samantha Huntley, Yun Ju C Song, Grace Yeeun Lee, Adam Skinner, Samuel Hockey, Kenny Lawson, Ian B. Hickie

  JIMR Research Protocols, 2022

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Applying systems approaches to stakeholder and community engagement and knowledge mobilisation in youth mental health system modelling

  Louise Freebairn, Yun Ju Christine Song, Jo-An Occhipinti, Samantha Huntley, Pat Dudgeon, Julie Robotham, Grace Lee, Samuel Hockey, Geoff Gallop, Ian B. Hickie

  International Journal of Mental Health Systems, 2022

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• A dynamic approach to economic priority setting to invest in youth mental health and guide local implementation: Economic protocol for eight system dynamics policy models

  Kenny Lawson, Jo-An Occhipinti, Louise Freebairn, Adam Skinner, Yun Ju C Song, Grace Yeeun Lee, Sam Huntley, & Ian B. Hickie

  Frontiers in Psychiatry, 2022

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Presenting a comprehensive multi-scale evaluation framework for participatory modelling programs: A scoping review

  Grace Yeeun Lee, Ian B. Hickie, Jo-An Occhipinti, Yun Ju Christine Song, Salvador Camacho, Adam Skinner, Kenneth Lawson, Adriane Martin Hilber, Louise Freebairn

  PloS ONE, 2022

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Participatory systems modelling for youth mental health: An evaluation study applying a comprehensive multi-scale framework

  Grace Yeeun Lee, Ian B. Hickie, Jo-An Occhipinti, Yun Ju Christine Song, Salvador Camacho, Adam Skinner, Kenneth Lawson, Adriane Martin Hilber, Louise Freebairn

  International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2022

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Which programmes and policies across health and community settings will generate the most significant impacts for youth suicide prevention in Australia and the UK? Protocol for a systems modelling and simulation study

  Maria Michail, Jo Robinson, Katrina Witt, Jo-An Occhipinti, Adam Skinner, Michelle Lamblin, Maria Veresova, Dzenana Kartal, Justin Waring

  BMJ Open, 2022

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Measuring, modelling, and forecasting the Mental Wealth of Nations

  Jo-An Occhipinti, John Buchanan, Adam Skinner, Allan Fels, Yun Ju C. Song, Kristen Tran, Sebastian Rosenberg, P. Murali Doraiswamy, Petra Meier, Ante Prodan, Ian B. Hickie

  Frontiers in Public Health, 2022

  Journal article Social production Systems modelling

• Sound decision making in uncertain times: Can systems modelling be useful for informing policy and planning for suicide prevention

  Jo-An Occhipinti, Danya Rose, Adam Skinner, Daniel Rock, Yun Ju C. Song, Ante Prodan, Sebastian Rosenberg, Louise Freebairn, Catherine Vacher, Ian B. Hickie

  International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2022

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Population mental health improves with increasing access to treatment: evidence from a dynamic modelling analysis

  Adam Skinner, Jo-An Occhipinti, Yun Ju Christine Song, Ian B. Hickie

  BMC Psychiatry, 2022

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Optimizing strategies for improving mental health in Victoria, Australia, during the COVID-19 era: a system dynamics modelling study

  Catherine Vacher, Nicholas Ho, Adam Skinner, Jo Robinson, Louise Freebairn, Grace Yoon Lee, Frank Iorfino, Ante Prodan, Yun Ju C. Song, Jo-An Occhipinti,^ and Ian B. Hickie^

  International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2022

  Journal article Systems modelling

• The impact of technology-enabled care coordination in a complex mental health system: A local system dynamics model

  Frank Iorfino, Jo-An Occhipinti, Adam Skinner, Tracey Davenport, Shelly Rowe, Ante Prodan, Julie Sturgess & Ian Hickie

  Journal of Medical Internet Research, 2021

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Prototyping, developing, and iterating a gamified survey to evaluate participatory systems modelling for youth mental health: Quality assurance pilot

  Grace Yeeun Lee, Ian B. Hickie, Jo-An Occhipinti, Yun Ju Christine Song, Sam Huntley, Adam Skinner, Kenny Lawson, Sam J. Hockey, Louise Freebairn

  24th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, 2021

  Conference Systems modelling Youth mental health

• A briefing note on revised BMC systems modelling

  Jo-An Occhipinti, Nicholas Ho, Adam Skinner, Yun Ju Christine Song, Ian B. Hickie

  Brain and Mind Centre, 2021

  Report or briefing Systems modelling

• Mental health: Build predictive models to steer policy

  Jo-An Occhipinti, Adam Skinner, P. Murali Doraiswamy, Cameron Fox, Helen Herrman, Shekhar Saxena, Elisha London, Yun Ju Christine Song, Ian Hickie, on behalf of the World Economic Forum Global Future Council on Mental Health

  Nature, 2021

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Closing the gender gap: Supporting the mental health of Australian women during the COVID-19 era

  Jo-An Occhipinti, Nicholas Ho, Adam Skinner, Yun Ju Christine Song, Ian B. Hickie

  Brain and Mind Centre, 2021

  Report or briefing Systems modelling

• Federal and state cooperation necessary but not sufficient for effective regional mental health systems: Insights from complex systems modelling and simulation

  Jo-An Occhipinti, Adam Skinner, Samantha Carter, Jacinta Heath, Kenny Lawson, Katie McGill, Rod McClure, Ian Hickie

  Scientific Reports, 2021

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Investing for impact: Why uncertainty is not a barrier to sound decision making to support the COVID-19 mental health recovery

  Jo-An Occhipinti, Danya Rose, Adam Skinner, Yun Ju Christine Song, Daniel Rock, Ian B. Hickie

  Brain and Mind Centre, 2021

  Report or briefing Systems modelling

• Mathematical modelling and computer simulations guide better mental health policy

  Jo-An Occhipinti & Adam Skinner

  Scientific American, 2021

  Opinion or commentary Systems modelling

• Reducing youth suicide: Systems modelling and simulation to guide targeted investments across the determinants

  Jo-An Occhipinti, Adam Skinner, Frank Iorfino, Kenny Lawson, Julie Sturgess, Warren Burgess, Tracey Davenport, Danica Hudson, Ian Hickie

  BMC Medicine, 2021

  Journal article Youth mental health Systems modelling

• Which social, economic, and health sector strategies will deliver the greatest impacts for youth mental health and suicide prevention? Protocol for an advanced, systems modelling approach

  Jo-An Occhipinti, Adam Skinner, Nicholas Ho, Kenny Lawson, Louise Freebairn, Yun Ju (Christine) Song, Grace Lee, Ian B. Hickie

  Frontiers in Psychiatry, 2021

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Gazing through time and beyond the health sector: Insights from a system dynamics model of cardiovascular disease in Australia

  Cindy Peng, Kenny Lawson, Mark Heffernan, Geoff McDonnell, Danny Liew, Sean Lybrand, Sallie-Anne Pearson, Henry Cutler, Leonard Kritharides, Kathy Trieu, Quan Huynh, Tim Usherwood, Jo-An Occhipinti

  PLOS ONE, 2021

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Regional suicide prevention planning: a dynamic simulation modelling analysis

  Adam Skinner, Jo-An Occhipinti, Yun Ju Christine Song, Ian B. Hickie

  British Journal of Psychiatry Open, 2021

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• A dynamic modelling analysis of the impact of tobacco control programs on population-level nicotine dependence

  Adam Skinner, Jo-An Occhipinti, Nathaniel Osgood

  Scientific Reports, 2021

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Measuring the scale of underinvestment in Australia’s mental health services system: a dynamic modelling analysis

  Adam Skinner, Jo-An Occhipinti, Sebastian Rosenberg, Yun Ju Christine Song, Ian B. Hickie

  Brain and Mind Centre, 2021

  Report or briefing Systems modelling

• Beyond tinkering with the status quo: Coordinated structural reforms can deliver a substantive improvement in mental health outcomes

  Catherine Vacher, Adam Skinner, Jo-An Occhipinti, Nicholas Ho, Yun Ju Christine Song, Ian B. Hickie

  Brain and Mind Centre, 2021

  Report or briefing Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Complex systems modelling can guide policy and practice

  Jo-An Atkinson, Ian B. Hickie, Patrick McGorry, Adam Skinner, Ante Prodan, Petra Meier, Michael Barton, Shankar Sankaran, Sandro Galea, David Wilson

  Croakey, 2020

  Opinion or commentary Systems modelling

• Mental health response flying blind

  Jo-An Atkinson, Ian B. Hickie, Adam Skinner, Sebastian Rosenburg

  The Mandarin, 2020

  Opinion or commentary Systems modelling

• Modelling the shape of the mental health crisis after COVID

  Jo-An Atkinson, Cameron Fox, and Ian B. Hickie

  Agenda, World Economic Forum, 2020

  Opinion or commentary Systems modelling

• Bringing new tools, a regional focus, resource-sensitivity, local engagement and necessary discipline to mental health policy and planning

  Jo-An Atkinson, Adam Skinner, Kenny Lawson, Sebastian Rosenberg, Ian B. Hickie

  BMC Public Health, 2020

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Revision of estimates based on revised RBA forecasts

  Jo-An Atkinson, Adam Skinner, Kenny Lawson, Yun Ju Christine Song, Ian B. Hickie

  Brain and Mind Centre, 2020

  Report or briefing Systems modelling

• Road to recovery: Restoring Australia’s Mental Wealth

  Jo-An Atkinson, Adam Skinner, Kenny Lawson, Yun Ju Christine Song, Ian B. Hickie

  Brain and Mind Centre, 2020

  Report or briefing Social production Systems modelling

• Road to Recovery Part 2: Investing in Australia’s Mental Wealth

  Jo-An Atkinson, Kenny Lawson, Adam Skinner, Ian B. Hickie

  Brain and Mind Centre, 2020

  Report or briefing Social production Systems modelling

• Systems modelling and simulation to inform strategic decision making for suicide prevention in rural New South Wales (Australia)

  Jo-An Atkinson, Adam Skinner, Sue Hackney, Linda Mason, Mark Heffernan, Dianne Currier, Kylie King, Jane Pirkis

  ANZJP, 2020

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• The science of complex systems is needed to ameliorate the impacts of COVID-19 on mental health

  Jo-An Atkinson, Yun (Christine) Song, Kathleen Merikangas, Adam Skinner, Ante Prodan, Frank Iorfino, Louise Freebairn, Danya Rose, Nicholas Ho, Jacob J. Crouse, Vadim Zipunnikov, Ian B. Hickie

  Frontiers in Psychiatry, 2020

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Systems modelling can save us from delayed actions and wrong turns in policy making

  Jo-An Atkinson, Ian B. Hickie, Kenny Lawson

  The Mandarin, 2020

  Opinion or commentary Systems modelling

• Call for transparency of COVID-19 models

  Barton, C. M., M. Alberti, D. Ames, J. Atkinson, J. Bales, E. Burke, M. Chen, S. Y. Diallo, D. J. D. Earn, B. Fath, Z. Feng, C. Gibbons, R. Hammond, J. Heffernan, H. Houser, P. S. Hovmand, B. Kopainsky, P. L. Mabry, C. Mair, P. Meier, R. Niles, B. Nosek, N. Osgood, S. Pierce, J. G. Polhill, L. Prosser, E. Robinson, C. Rosenzweig, S. Sankaran, K. Stange and G. Tucker

  Science, 2020

  Journal article Systems modelling

• ‘Turning the tide’ on hyperglycemia in pregnancy: Insights from multi-scale dynamic simulation modelling

  Louise Freebairn, Jo-An Atkinson, Yang Qin, Christopher Nolan, Alison L Kent, Paul M Kelly, Luke Penza, Ante Prodan, Anahita Safarishahrbijari, Weicheng Qian, Louise Maple-Brown, Roland Dyck, Allen McLean, Geoff McDonnell and Nathaniel D Osgood

  BMJ Open Diabetes Research and Care, 2020

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Reaching the Vanguard target for reducing homelessness: Leveraging administrative data and systems modelling and simulation to navigate a path through complexity

  Heffernan, M., Atkinson J., Skinner, B., Pabla, A., & Knight, T.

  Proceedings of the 38th International Conference of the Systems Dynamics Society, Bergen, 2020

  Conference Systems modelling

• Systems modelling and simulation of strategies to mitigate the ‘shadow pandemic’ of mental ill-health in Victoria

  Nicholas Ho, Adam Skinner, Jo-An Atkinson, Yun Ju Christine Song, Ian B. Hickie

  Brain and Mind Centre, 2020

  Report or briefing Systems modelling

• Systems modelling and simulation of regional variation in the effectiveness of suicide prevention strategies

  Adam Skinner, Jo-An Atkinson, Yun Ju Christine Song, Ian B. Hickie

  Brain and Mind Centre, 2020

  Report or briefing Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Systems modelling and simulation: Testing strategies to achieve the Premier’s target for reducing homelessness in New South Wales

  Jo-An Atkinson, Mark Heffernan, Tamsin Knight, Aman Pabla, Bonnie Skinner

  A report prepared for the Strategic Policy Unit, Department of Communities & Justice, NSW Government, 2019

  Report or briefing Systems modelling

• Submission to the Australian Government Productivity Commission’s Inquiry into the Social and Economic Benefits of Improving Mental Health. How do we ensure that mental health reforms and resources deliver best outcomes for individuals, communities and the ‘mental wealth’ of the nation?

  Jo-An Atkinson, Ian Hickie, Andrew Page, Adam Skinner, Sebastian Rosenberg, Kenny Lawson

  Australian Government Productivity Commission, 2019

  Report or briefing Social production Systems modelling

• The impact of reducing psychiatric beds on suicide rates

  Jo-An Atkinson, Andrew Page, Adam Skinner, Mark Heffernan, Ante Prodan, Ian B. Hickie

  Frontiers in Psychiatry, 2019

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• The impact of strengthening mental health services to prevent suicidal behaviour

  Jo-An Atkinson, Andrew Page, Mark Heffernan, Geoff McDonnell, Ante Prodan, Bill Campos, Graham Meadows, Ian Hickie

  Australian and New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 2019

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Turning conceptual systems maps into dynamic simulation models: an Australian case study for diabetes in pregnancy

  Louise Freebairn, Jo-An Atkinson, Nathaniel Osgood, Paul M Kelly, Geoff McDonnell, Lucie Rychetnik

  PLoS ONE, 2019

  Journal article Systems modelling

• “Stopping before you start”: Reducing and preventing initiation of tobacco use in the ACT

  Louise Freebairn, Kurt Kreuger, Cathy Watson, Zongjian Yang, Ante Prodan, Kathleen Graham, Glen Draper, Geoff McDonnell, Erica Nixon, Jo-An Atkinson

  Proceedings of the International Congress on Modelling and Simulation. Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, 2019

  Conference Systems modelling

• Resolving the paradox of increased mental health expenditure and stable prevalence

  Graham Meadows, Ante Prodan, Scott Paten, Frances Shawyer, Sarah Francis, Joanne Enticott, Sebastian Rosenberg, Jo-An Atkinson, Ellie Fossey, Ritsuko Kakuma

  Australian and New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 2019

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Key Insights Report: Dynamic Simulation Model of Cardiovascular Disease in Australia

  Cindy Peng, Mark Heffernan, Geoff McDonnell, Ante Prodan, Kenny Lawson, Jo-An Atkinson

  A report prepared for Amgen Australia, 2019

  Report or briefing Systems modelling

• Key Insights Report: Dynamic simulation model of osteoporosis and related burden in Australia

  Cindy Peng, Danielle Currie, Jo-An Atkinson, Mark Heffernan, Kurt Kreuger, Geoff McDonnell & the HMRI Health Research Economics team

  A report prepared for Amgen Australia, 2019

  Report or briefing Systems modelling

• Multi-scale simulation modelling for prevention and public health management of diabetes in pregnancy and sequelae

  Yang Qin, Louise Freebairn, Jo-An Atkinson, Weicheng Qian, Anahita Safarishahrbijari, Nathaniel D Osgood

  Social, Cultural, and Behavioral Modeling. SBP-BRiMS 2019. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 11549. Springer, Cham, 2019

  Conference Systems modelling

• Can the target set for reducing childhood overweight and obesity be met? A system dynamics modelling study in New South Wales, Australia

  Nick Roberts, Vincy Li, Jo-An Atkinson, Mark Heffernan, Geoff McDonnell, Ante Prodan, Louise Freebairn, Bev Lloyd, Suzanne Nieuwenhuizen, Jo Mitchell, Tom Lung, John Wiggers

  Systems Research and Behavioral Science, 2019

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Insights Brief: Dynamic modelling to inform suicide prevention commissioning decisions

  Adam Skinner, Jo-An Atkinson, Andrew Page

  A report prepared for Western NSW Primary Health Network, 2019

  Report or briefing Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Policy options for endgame planning in tobacco control: a simulation modelling study

  Adam Skinner, Pippy Walker, Jo-An Atkinson, Rebecca Whitehead, Tim Roselli, Mark West, Margaret Bright, Mark Heffernan, Geoff McDonnell, Lennert Veerman, Ante Prodan, David P. Thomas, Suzan Burton

  Tobacco Control, 2019

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Impacts of licensed premises trading hour policies on alcohol-related harms

  Jo-An Atkinson, Ante Prodan, Michael Livingston, Dylan Knowles, Eloise O’Donnell, Robin Room, Devon Indig, Andrew Page, Geoff McDonnell, John Wiggers

  Addiction Journal, 2018

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Key Insights Brief: Dynamic modelling to inform state-wide service planning

  Jo-An Atkinson, Mark Heffernan, Geoff McDonnell, Anton du Toit

  A report prepared for Queensland Health, 2018

  Report or briefing Systems modelling

• Systems modelling tools to support policy and planning

  Jo-An Atkinson, Andrew Page, Ante Prodan, Geoff McDonnell, Nathaniel Osgood

  The Lancet, 2018

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Key Insights Brief: Modelling strategies to reduce alcohol related harms in Tasmania

  Jacqui Davison, Jo-An Atkinson, Mark Heffernan

  A report prepared for the Tasmanian Department of Health and Human Services, 2018

  Report or briefing Systems modelling

• Decision makers experience of participatory dynamic simulation modelling: methods for public health policy

  Louise Freebairn, Jo-An Atkinson, Paul Kelly, Geoff McDonnell, Lucie Rychetnik

  BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 2018

  Journal article Systems modelling

• A decision support tool to inform local suicide prevention activity in Greater Western Sydney (Australia)

  Andrew Page, Jo-An Atkinson, William Campos, Mark Heffernan, Shahana Ferdousi, Adrian Power, Nereus Maranan, Ian Hickie

  Australian and New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 2018

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Static metrics of impact for a dynamic problem: The need for smarter tools to guide suicide prevention planning and investment

  Andrew Page, Jo-An Atkinson, Mark Heffernan, Geoff McDonnell, Ante Prodan, Nate Osgood, Ian Hickie

  Australian and New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry, 2018

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Systems modelling and big data for non-communicable disease prevention

  Nick Roberts, Jo-An Atkinson, Geoff McDonnell, Nate Osgood, Sonia Wutzke

  Oxford Bibliographies, 2018

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Dynamic simulation modelling of policy responses to reduce alcohol-related harms: rationale and procedure for a participatory approach

  Jo-An Atkinson, Eloise O’Donnell, John Wiggers, Geoff McDonnell, Jo Mitchell, Louise Freebairn, Devon Indig and Lucie Rychetnik

  Public Health Research & Practice, 2017

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Testing strategies to achieve the Premier’s target for reducing childhood overweight and obesity in NSW. Key Insights from dynamic simulation modelling

  Jo-An Atkinson, Vincy Li, Mark Heffernan, Geoff McDonnell, Nick Roberts, Anton duToit, Thomas Lung

  A report prepared for NSW Health, 2017

  Report or briefing Systems modelling

• Harnessing advances in computer simulation to inform policy and planning to reduce alcohol-related harms

  Jo-An Atkinson, Dylan Knowles, John Wiggers, Michael Livingston, Robin Room, Ante Prodan, et al.

  International Journal of Public Health, 2017

  Journal article Systems modelling

• WentWest suicide prevention decision support tool: Testing strategies to achieve reductions in suicidal behaviour in Western Sydney

  Jo-An Atkinson, Andrew Page, Mark Heffernan, Geoff McDonnell

  An Insights Report prepared for Western Sydney Primary Health Network (WentWest), 2017

  Report or briefing Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Knowledge mobilisation for policy development: implementing systems approaches through participatory dynamic simulation modelling

  Louise Freebairn, Lucie Rychetnik, Jo-An Atkinson, Paul Kelly, Geoff McDonnell, Nick Roberts, Christine Whittall, Sally Redman

  Health Research Policy and Systems, 2017

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Reducing childhood overweight and Obesity: Can the target be reached by 2025?

  Mark Heffernan, Jo-An Atkinson, Geoff McDonnell, Nick Roberts, Vincy Li, Louise Freebairn, Jacqueline Davison, Ante Prodan

  Proceedings of the 35th International Conference of the Systems Dynamics Society, 2017

  Conference Systems modelling

• Participatory simulation modelling to inform public health policy and practice: rethinking the evidence hierarchies

  Eloise O’Donnell, Jo-An Atkinson, Louise Freebairn, and Lucie Rychetnik

  Journal of Public Health Policy, 2017

  Journal article Systems modelling

• A decision support tool to inform Australian suicidal behaviour and suicide prevention strategies

  Andrew Page, Jo-An Atkinson, Mark Heffernan, Geoff McDonnell, Ian Hickie

  Public Health Research & Practice, 2017

  Journal article Systems modelling Youth mental health

• Queensland Health decision support tool: Testing strategies to achieve reductions in smoking prevalence

  Adam Skinner, Pippy Walker, Jo-An Atkinson, Mark Heffernan, Geoff McDonnell, Lennert Veerman

  An Insights report prepared for Queensland Health, 2017

  Report or briefing Systems modelling

• A dynamic simulation model: Supporting decisions to reduce alcohol related harms in NSW

  Atkinson JA, O’Donnell E, Knowles D

  The Australian Prevention Partnership Centre. A report prepared for NSW Ministry of Health and stakeholders, 2016

  Report or briefing Systems modelling

• Simulation modelling as a tool for knowledge mobilisation in health policy settings: a case study protocol

  Louise Freebairn, Jo-An Atkinson, Paul Kelly, Geoff McDonnell, Lucie Rychetnik

  Health Research and Policy Systems, 2016

  Journal article Systems modelling

• A modelling tool for policy analysis to support the design of efficient and effective policy responses for complex public health problems

  Atkinson JA, Page A, Wells R, Milat A, Wilson A

  Implementation Science, 2015

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Applications of system dynamics modelling to support health policy

  Atkinson JA, Wells R, Page A, Haines M, Dominello A, Wilson A

  Public Health Research and Practice, 2015

  Journal article Systems modelling

• Synthesizing 30 years of mathematical modelling of Echinococcus transmission: A systematic review

  Atkinson JA, Williams G, Yacob L, Clements ACA, Barnes TS, McManus DP, Yang YR, Gray DJ

  PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 2013

  Journal article Systems modelling